Anthropic SPV — Exit Scenario Analysis
1036 shares · 20% carry on profit · $297,500 total cost
Total Cost
$297,500
Incl. ~$29K fees
Current Value
$427,338
1.44x net · Est. @$600B
Break-Even
~$388B
Anthropic valuation
IPO Val.
Share Price
Gross Value
20% Carry
Net Shares
Net Value
Multiple
Profit
$350B
$258.90
$268,220
$0
1036
$268,220
0.90x
−$29,280
~$388B
$287.16
$297,500
$0
1036
$297,500
1.00x
$0
$500B
$369.85
$383,165
$17,133
990
$366,032
1.23x
+$68,532
$600B ★ now
$443.82
$459,798
$32,460
963
$427,338
1.44x
+$129,838
$750B
$554.78
$574,752
$55,450
936
$519,302
1.75x
+$221,802
$1T
$739.71
$766,340
$93,768
909
$672,572
2.26x
+$375,072
$1.5T
$1,109.56
$1,149,504
$170,401
882
$979,103
3.29x
+$681,603
$2T
$1,479.41
$1,532,669
$247,034
869
$1,285,635
4.32x
+$988,135
Net Value by IPO Scenario
Net value after 20% carry on profits above $297,500 total cost · Break-even at ~$388B · Est. FMV ~$600B (Series G closed $380B Feb '26 · new round offered at $900B as of Apr '26)